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betting baseball

Using Reverse Line Movement To Win

This may enable you to get the stale more favorable sports betting line at the time the reverse line movement hits at the triggering Sportsbook. RLM takes place when more money/ sportsbook picks are bet by the small percentage of bettors that are on the unpopular side (the sharps) than is bet by the huge majority of players betting the popular side (the squares).

Also, games where over 60 percent of the public are on one side, yet there is reverse line movement of at least 10 cents on the Money Line from the opening number at the top five sportsbooks in MLB and NHL sports betting has also been profitable. All of this will be fun to follow (not to mention profitable) when every sport except baseball are going on simultaneously during the winter months.

http://prosportsonline.net

Thus, following reverse line movements is the same thing a following the smart money. This would make Miami +6 the RLM play.

So what causes RLM when the aim of most sportsbooks is to get as close to balanced action on both sides as possible? The answer to this is quite simple: the sharp bettors; the one’s who give sports betting advice. However, instead of the line rising as you might expect, it instead drops to Chargers -6.

NBA sports betting has the lowest two-year five-book RLM winning percentage among the 11/10 sports, but then again, every gambler in the world would kill to go 382-301-9, 55.9 percent, +48.90 units, and the 57.5 percent win rate this past season is nothing to sneeze at. Quite a few RLM followers watch the moves until almost game time, and then bet accordingly. Keep in mind that NCAAB was the most liquid sport in terms of top-five sportbooks however, with not a single sportsbook making the top five both years. Another important recommendation is to use a slow moving (but reliable) sportsbook. Last year was a good RLM season for NFL sports betting (45-29, 60.8 percent, +11.91), but two sportsbooks that were in the top five in NFL RLM in both seasons.

The proper way to make a sports bet using reverse line movement is to place your bet as soon as there is an RLM of one full point (or 10 cents in MLB and NHL) off of the opening line. Furthermore, they list the RLM records for many individual sportsbook, making it easy to spot which books this system is working at and which books it may be best to ignore.

So what we recommend is to only use the top five each season for each individual sport (in terms of units won). The records quoted below are based on the bets being made at the triggering books, so beating the move by a half-point or a few cents now and then would actually make your record even better.

By: Manny G

Article Directory: http://www.articledashboard.com

So what exactly is reverse line movement? RLM takes place when a large majority of bets are on one team, yet the line moves in the opposite direction. Sure, using this approach leaves open the possibility of the line turning around and moving back against you, but as you will see in bit, betting as soon as an RLM qualifies has been profitable in every major North American sport such as the last two seasons, so if one line turns around, so be it. To illustrate, let us say that San Diego Chargers open at -7 over the Miami Dolohins, and over 70 percent of the sports bets placed on the game are on San Diego. Note that these records are for sides only and do not include totals.

The NFL sports betting is generally considered the toughest sport to beat, yet blindly following this method produced an exceptional 59.2 percent win rate last season, improving the two year record to 328-249-12, 56.8 percent, +59.06 units. We tracked the top five books for each of the pointspread sports for the last two years, as as you can see, this strategy has been profitable in every sport. It should be noted that many fewer MLB games have qualified so far this season (is the whole world using RLM now?), but smaller profits is still profit.Again, these records are for Money Lines only and do not include totals.Finally, NHL sports betting has picked up 148.49 units in two years, and unlike MLB, NHL had four sportsbooks out of the top five gain double-digit units this past season. Carib ruled the roost season at 93-66-9, 58.5 percent, +18.55 units after ABC held the penthouse spot in the 2007-08 season.

. Keep a close eye on Canbet here, as that Australian sportsbook cracked the top five both years.

prosportsonline.net

The highest two-year winning percentage using RLM from the top five books belongs to College Football, which went 480-341-10, 58.5 percent, +95.10 units. This is where an important word of caution is in order though. The huge problem with this is that the nfl line, ncaaf line or nhl line may have moved too much by that time, and all of the value has been sucked out of the unpopular side.

College Basketball sports betting was not too shabby either, with a two-year mark of 492-356-22, 58.0 percent, +91.96 units. Keep an eyes on the top five sportsbooks at Sports Insights though, as NCAAF sports betting has been very liquid in that regard, with only one sportsbook (believe it or not, Bodog) finishing in the top five both years.

Now do the sharps win every single time? Absolutely not! However, they are right more often than they are wrong, so being on the same side as the sharps is a prudent strategy over the long run, and again, the best thing is that there in absolutely no conventional sports handicapping necessary..

To back this up, our friends over at Prosportsonline.net have tracked the records for games where over 60 percent of the public has been on one side, yet there was reverse line movement of at least one full point from the opening number at the top sportsbooks in NFL, NCAAF, NBA and NCAAB

Rocky Marciano – InfoBarrel

She smoked too, and developed a glandular problem. Rocky never wrote anything down, he tried to keep track of his loans in his head, and sometimes forgot who owed him, and how much. His wife, Barbara, was unable to have the large family Rocky wanted. Rocky hadn’t fought or trained for fourteen years. Although he enjoyed being champion, Marciano remained unchanged. Anthony for her son’s recovery, promising to give up her diamond engagement ring if Rocco recovered. It was an incredible run. Before the fight Marciano met with a priest, who after their meeting said: “That boy is no ordinary prizefighter, he is one of the most dignified, straightforward people I have ever met in my life. Then he was cut from the Chicago Cubs farm system. He would interrupt his training schedule to attend Mass. He knocked out nine of his early opponents in the first round. There was bad weather and the plane ran low on gas. He didn’t trust lawyers or accountants, and preferred to deal in cash. The champion was Jersey Joe Walcott, a ring veteran most experts picked to beat Marciano easily. Rocco refused but eventually he tired of having his name misspelled and mispronounced, and allowed his name to be shortened to Rocky Marciano. Marciano’s body was found pinned beneath the wreckage. He  hit his opponents on the break, after the bell, and below the belt. He was awkward in the ring. Or the estrangement may have developed over Rocky’s running, which may have sprung from a preoccupation with money. The sparring film would be spliced together to match the computer outcome of the fight – a closely guarded secret that would not be revealed until “The Superfight” aired in theaters.

Outwardly Marciano’s life after boxing was quite successful – unlike many fighters, he kept his money and his wits. Anthony before his first title fight, read The Confessions of St. Barbara missed Rocky, and drank too much. Yet he used a wire to try to get coins back he used to make telephone calls. The computer’s result: Marciano knocked out Ali in the thirteenth round. He had no boxing skills. Rocky always apologized, but the fouling continued.

After serving as a GI in World War II, Rocco played minor league baseball. He was invited to the White House to meet the President. After the Rock retired he kept running.

Rocky was generous with people who were down and out, often giving them unsecured loans that were rarely paid back. Once he hit a man so hard he almost killed him. The Marchegiano’s had five more children after Rocco: Alice, Connie, Elizabeth, Louis, and Peter. It is difficult to win a fight when you can’t reach your opponent. Lena’s doctor said she could have no more children; this put a fine edge on her concern for Rocco’s health.

After knocking out an old Joe Louis, Rocky got a title shot. Once, as a joke, the reigning sex symbol, Jayne Mansfield, was smuggled into a room where Marciano sat, alone. He made sure the people who invited him paid for everything.

Rocky’s last big payday was a computerized fight with Muhammed Ali in 1969. He golfed with priests, helped promote parish functions, even lunched with Cardinal Spellman. Life magazine called him “pure of speech” and “a clean living boy.” He was elsewhere described as “astonishingly innocent,” and “totally without deception, totally without guile.” He didn’t drink or smoke; in fact, when a host at a party for Marciano in Brockton offered the champ a drink, Rocky replied, “If you don’t mind, I’ll take an apple.” 

“In this age of the anti-hero and the non-hero, Rocky Marciano was the hero with whom the mass of Americans could readily identify, the hero who surmounted all difficulties by dint of hard work, dedication and perseverance. He was famous, successful, and well thought of. 

* * * . Walcott’s experience kept Marciano off-balance and sometimes made him look ridiculous. He usually didn’t pay anything for his cross-country trips: no plane fare, hotel fare, or meals. He even used a coat hanger to stuff money inside curtain rods.

Five months after Marciano’s death “The Superfight” debuted in theaters. Marciano stepped inside and beat Walcott to the punch with a short right hand that traveled maybe eight inches. Although he left thousands (some claim hundred of thousands) of dollars stashed away or buried underground, none of it was found to aid Barbara and the children, who were impoverished after Rocky’s death.

The answer: Rocky Marciano, heavyweight boxing champion from 1952 to 1956, when at age thirty-three he retired with a perfect record (49-0, with 43 knockouts). Rocco inherited his father’s toughness, for he survived a deadly bout of pneumonia when he was two. The pilot landed the plane in a field in Newton, Iowa, and rammed into a lone tree in the middle of the field. At the time boxing was a diversion, a way to make a few bucks to help out his family. The pilot and his two passengers were instantly killed. One sportswriter said Marciano brought the “austere, sackcloth-and -ashes approach of a monk” to his training. He boarded a small, single engine Cessna. His fanaticism about physical conditioning,  along with his determination and punching power, led to an unequalled record for a heavyweight champion: forty-nine professional wins, no defeats, forty-three victories by knockout. Rocky kept coming, even after Walcott knocked him down, closed his left eye, and opened cuts on his face that required fourteen stitches to close.

He and Lena settled in Brockton, a small city twenty miles south of Boston. On those occasions Rocco reached opponents with his right hand, however, they fell down and didn’t get up. 

His upbringing was steeped in Italian customs and traditions. His parents loved opera, ate Italian food, and had wine with dinner. Until Rocco put Brockton on the national map, his hometown was best known for its shoe factories. Ali complained about his ‘loss’, alleging the computer was made in Alabama. 

On August 31, 1969, Marciano planned to interrupt his business circuit and fly back to Florida to celebrate his forty-sixth birthday with his family. And Brockton loved him right back, at least in part because many of them became rich betting on Rocky’s fights. 

An investigation into the crash of the Cessna in NewtonIowa cited pilot inexperience as the cause of the crash. Rocky was a brawler. Rocco’s biggest limitation was arms so short they were almost stubby. At the last minute Rocky decided to squeeze in an appearance at a steak house in Des Moines, Iowa. He said if the man died he would quit fighting. Marciano went back into training and bought a toupee. An obituary in his home state of Massachusetts read:

Marciano was “a kind and decent man.”, He was “inherently a decent, righteous and truly wonderful guy…His innate decency and wholesomeness shine through in a dedicated glow.” Or: “We never cease to be amazed at the humility of Rocky Marciano…he treats everyone if they were the celebrity and he the awed little guy.” Another writer called him “probably the humblest of heavyweight champions.”  Said another: “He reminds you of a great, friendly collie …with the grin of a shy fellow happy to be recognized, at last, as a member of the gang in good standing.” He was “the gentlest athlete I have ever known,” and again: “a man of simplicity and sincerity.”

 Which heavyweight boxing champion in the last century knelt on his knees to pray to St. And he could be incredibly tight with a buck. Asked about his reaction when flying shrapnel hit his jaw and snapped off some teeth, Pierino replied, “I just spit them out and kept coming.” 

Everett M. Sometimes he would cover his chin and hands with St. The famous sportswriter Jimmy Cannon observed that Marciano trained “like a man practicing a holy ritual.” Before fights he would slip away to a church or chapel to pray.

Marciano’s character was on display in his first fight with Walcott, which was a classic. Rocky didn’t trust banks, either, so he hid his cash: in the ground, inside toilet tanks, in light fixtures. It hit Walcott’s jaw with the sound of a baseball bat. Yet even after he had enough money Rocky went after more. Rocky Marciano was champion.

Rocky was an old school Catholic. They had one daughter, but Barbara miscarried when Rocky was away, and wasn’t able to have any more children, although the two did adopt a boy (Rocky Jr.). Rocky seemed too busy to be home.

He was born Rocco Francis Marchegiano (Mark a-jahn-o) on September 1, 1923, the second son (the first died shortly after childbirth) of Pierino and Lena Marchegiano, first generation Italian immigrants who came to America after the first World War. He even had a role in a movie. Yet his retirement years revealed a man who seemed simple, but often was not.

Marchegiano went to New York and met Al Weill, a boxing manager who tried to Americanize his name. Stallone credited Chuck Wepner’s losing effort in a fight with Muhammed Ali as the inspiration for the film, yet the similarities of Rocky Balboa to Rocky Marciano are numerous and obvious. 

Marciano’s determination in the Walcott fight showed the world the new champion’s character and personality. They all lived in a two bedroom apartment. He was a near-classic example of the triumph of classic virtues (Boston Herald Traveler, September, 1969).” 

Russell Sullivan, Rocky Marciano, The Rock of His Times, 2002, University of Illinois Press, Urbana and Chicago.

Rocky ran from an early age. Jude’s oil while in his corner waiting for the start of that fight. 

He rarely saw his wife and children; or his parents, brothers, and sisters. Augustine before defending his title, and said: “The biggest thrill I could think of would be an audience with the pope?” 

In 1976 Sylvester Stallone began his “Rocky” franchise. Rocky slowly became a better boxer, but it was his punching power that kept him undefeated. When he wasn’t playing sports he was running and exercising.

Far behind on points late in the fight, Rocky needed a knockout to win. Even as champion he came to the ring in a robe bearing the colors of BrocktonHigh School (even though he dropped out in the tenth grade). Then Rocky and Ali sparred 70 rounds for the camera, simulating different endings to the fight. His marriage was strained. Skehan, Rocky Marciano, Biography of a First Son, Houghton Mifflin Company, Boston, 1977. 

Not that there is anything particularly Catholic about being a teetotaler.  It’s just that Marciano, though intelligent, was a very simple man who never forgot where he came from. His friends said the only thing Rocky was afraid of was being poor. The pilot had not flown at night before, became confused by the bad weather, and attempted to land in a field rather than the Newton airport. 

Perhaps it was his simplicity that allowed him to retire after beating everyone worth fighting. Walcott collapsed to the canvas and was counted out. Walcott bounced off and threw a hard left hand. Ali was in retirement too, after having his title stripped for refusing the draft. The man recovered, but never fought again.

(An experiment was performed on Rocky’s punching power. He was undersized for a heavyweight. Equally unique, Marciano never came out of retirement to challenge subsequent champions, a temptation very few ex-champions have overcome, much less succeeded at.

Sources 

While sportswriters criticized Marciano’s boxing shortcomings, no one criticized his character, as the following quotes show:

The doctor was wrong. Marciano spent hours at his opponent’s hospital bed, and in church praying for the man’s life. Ali later said that Marciano punched so hard he was sore for days after. He backed Walcott into the ropes. Several opponents quit boxing after being knocked out by Marciano. The 1963 issue of Boxing Illustrated claimed: “Marciano’s knockout blow packs more explosive energy than an armour-piercing bullet and represents as much energy as would be required to spot lift 1000 pounds one foot off the ground.”  Although this sort of ‘science’ was probably conducted by zealous Marciano fans, it is undeniably true that Rocky hit really hard.) 

Marciano died without a will. He would never be a classic boxer, but he worked unceasingly at improving his craft, and trained relentlessly. Rocco slept in the living room with the windows open, even in the winter, as if in defiance of his bout with pneumonia.

Lena prayed to St. The people of the world should be informed of this boy’s character and personality.” 

As he continued to successfully defend his title, Marciano gradually drew respect from critics. A few minutes later she came out complaining: “What is he, crazy? He didn’t want anything to do with me.” Marciano seemed more comfortable in the company of clergy than actresses. At the time many children died of pneumonia, but Rocco eventually recovered, and Lena kept her promise.

Maybe Rocky ran to avoid an estranged relationship with Barbara. He retained his public life, crisscrossing across the country to give speeches, participate in benefits, and conduct business. She and her friends prayed the Rosary at the child’s bedside and waited. Rocco was in his twenties, when most fighters hit their peak. As a boy Rocco was preoccupied with his physical condition. The nicest thing about being champ, he said, “is that people like you.”  Everyone but boxing experts, who found Rocky’s style too crude to suffer. Pierino’s exposure to mustard gas during combat changed his life, but not his toughness. There would be good food, a nice check for a few words, and still enough time to fly back for his birthday

Baseball Hitting Drills – Tips and Drills For Using Hitting Stick Trainers by Nick Dixon

MIDDLE STRIKE CONTACT – The holder will move around a couple more feet. Then later came other versions including the Hit2win Trainer^ and the SKLZ Target Trainer. The ball should be positioned slightly in front of the batters front foot. The height of the ball should be raised and lowered in the strike zone to give the batter swings at both high and low strikes.

There are many versions of the “ball-on-a-rod” trainer. Check to make sure the batter is using proper grip, stance and stride mechanics.

4. First, the product is to be used as a “still” ball trainer. 3. The batter swings and drives the ball in a direction that would be to the opposite field. The ball hit is on the middle 3rd of the plate. The batter does not move. Second, the holder must stand at the proper angle to the batter and direct the ball at the correct angle to the batter. You can learn to hit without having to chase, pick-up or retrieve a single ball. All of these baseball trainers basically work and perform the same. Make sure that the hitting area is safe with no one within 15 feet of the holder or the batter.

The http://BaseballCoachingDigest.com has a great selection of BASEBALL COACHING and TRAINING ARTICLES. These trainers are some of the most popular baseball batting trainers used today.

1. The batter should keep the head still and the head should stay down with the eyes on the ball throughout the swing.

1. Allowing the ball to pass inside the front foot allows the batter to use the front foot and leg as a anchor and leverage to generate a more powerful swing.

The popularity come from the benefits they offer the baseball player, baseball coach, and the baseball parent. ^Hit2win is a registered trademark of Nedco Sports Products. Every player on the team can take 30 warm-up swings each in less than 10 minutes.

3. The batter should take a step and drive the ball.

2. Check out the Bat Action Hitting Machine baseball pitching simulator at http://BatAction.com. Make sure the ball is directed at the batter’s back foot.

7. The batter will drive the bat through the box. Positive reinforcement should be given when the batter makes good solid contact.

8. This teaches the batter to allow the ball down the middle to get inside the front foot so that maximum power can be generated during the swing. The batter should attack the inside strike earlier to keep from getting jammed.

4. If the angle is wrong, the end of the bat will hit behind the ball and the bat will never actually touch the ball. The holder should make sure that the trainer safety strap is used to prevent the holder from losing their grip on the trainer when the batter hits the ball.

The key to proper use of any hand-held batting device is KNOWING AND USING THE CORRECT ANGLE FOR THE DRILL YOU ARE DOING! If you do not direct or point the ball at the proper angle, the batter will always make poor contact. The unit is portable and requires no setup. Make sure the batter does not over stride.

6. You should not move the ball when using these trainers. Make sure that the batter is swinging in a direction that is free of persons should the batter lose the grip on the bat.

Baseball Hitting Drills – Tips and Drills For Using Hitting Stick Trainers

 by: Nick Dixon

2. The first and original version was the HitnStik*. The purpose of these swings is to make the batter use the hips as the batter turns and hits the ball. The holder will change the location of the ball by moving.

As the inventor of the HitnStik*, Hit2win Trainer^, and SKLZ Target+ Trainer, I sometimes cringe when I see someone using the product incorrectly. The batter may have to take a slight inward step with the front foot to properly execute this swing.

The holder changes location and height and allows the batter to take 6 swings at each location. The first thing to remember is that the holder should always direct the rod and ball toward the hitter’s back foot. HIP TURNER LOCATION – The holder stands slightly behind the batter directing the ball at the batter’s bat pocket. The ball should be at a location just inside the batters back foot. This simple rule insures that proper bat-to-ball contact is made. The ball will be positioned in a location behind the front foot. All of these are handheld units. The ball should be positioned at a location inside the batters front foot. They have different names but they all are great trainers to teach and train young players. This location simulates hitting a pitch over the inside 3rd of the plate. +SKLZ Target is a registered trademark of Pro Performance Sports.

10. This is what I call “coning out”. . I often see coaches and parents working with players when I visit a park. INSIDE STRIKE – The holder moves toward the direction of the pitcher from the batter. Remember to direct the ball toward the belly button or back foot of the batter.

9. AWAY STRIKE LOCATION – The holder will move around a couple more feet to give the batter a ball to hit that is on the outer 3rd of the plate. It is important to know the proper angles when using this product.

Coaching Points:

The 4X5 Baseball and Softball Pre-game Warm-up Drill

5. I sometimes get frustrated because I observe the product being used incorrectly.

The batter takes 5 swings at 5 different ball locations. It is welcomed in complexes and parks because it allows safe pre-game warm-up, requires little space, and does not damage fences. This high speed training machine is 100% Guaranteed to raise Batting Averages and has a full year warranty.

*HitnStik is a registered trademark belong to Easton Sports